Stock Market News
European stock exchanges suffered sharp decline on Monday (22 / 6) local time, followed by re-emergence of fear of the economic health of the world, said the dealer.
FTSE 100 index in London had fallen 2.57 percent to close at 4234.05 points while in Paris CAC 40 index lost 3.04 percent to end at 3123.25 points. Dax index in Frankfurt downed 3.02 percent to 4693.40 points. Other exchanges in Europe, a declining was also happened 2.53 percent in Madrid, 4.17 percent in Milan, 2.05 percent on the Swiss Market Index, in Amsterdam down 3.14 percent and 2.47 percent down in Brussels.

The suffered against major Europeans stocks is caused by disappointed economy recovery signal of the leader economic in the world United States. Index Dow Jones Industrial Average in mid-day downed to 1.65 percent at 8,399.16 points, while the technology dominated Nasdaq index was 2.49 percent declined to become 1,781.95.

Spot Market
Fallen on European Stocks is also followed by their EURO, downed below 1.39 US Dollar on the same day. The declining is raised due the investors concerned about United States Interest Rates. They were waiting the FED policy on interest rate in this weekend. My observation with Marketiva showed that in last two weeks, both EURO and British Pound couldn’t stand against US Dollar and declined significantly. Japanese Yen also downed below 96 US Dollar.

U.S. dollars are tight in the range because the investors await interest rate meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve this weekend, which begins on Tuesday, said the dealer.

The Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, is expected to maintain the base interest rate is almost zero, in line with the program of providing liquidity to the financial system, including the purchase of debt wide state and other securities. Markets was confusing by the unconventional monetary policy; experts argued that the policy makes market cooled down for a while, waiting the next action by FED.

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Retailers in the United States during this year are beginning complicated in big problems. Starting next month, they faced a problem in the closing outlets, bankruptcy, and corporate takeovers due the significantly decline on their sales during the holiday season is the worst figure in the last 40 years.

Based on data from the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC), estimated, the Retailers will close retail outlets around 73,000 in the first quarter 2009. Talbot’s Inc. and Sears Holdings Corp. are a few companies will close some stores in several locations with lowest sales rate. In addition, more than dozen retailers, including the Circuit City Stores Inc., Linens N Things Inc., Sharper Image Corp., and Steve & Barry’s LLC are in bankruptcy protection (bankruptcy protection) in this year as the restriction on credit from FED and the companies become more careful agaisnt profit loss as impact on their low sales.

According to Burt Flickinger, Manager Director of Strategic Resource Group, investors will see retailers whom seeking bankruptcy protection in February when financial reported is launched. “You will see many department stores, specialty stores, discount stores, wholesale stores, drug store, and others, both national and multinational companies, will be out of business. The amount will rise to new concerns,” said Flickinger. By using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, ICSC also predicts, 148,000 stores already closed in 2008. Largest since 2001 where 151,000 stores were closed. According to the ICSC Chief Economist Michael Niemira, percentage of store growth will decrease 3 percent this year. In addition,  total outlets spread in any locations have the same conditions. Niemira says, about 73,000 locations also will be closed in the first quarter 2009. However, difficulties conditions by the retailers to provide benefits to the consumers. “If you shop, you may find discounts on many products,” said Patrick McKeever, a senior equity Analyst MKM Partners LLC. This strategy- to discount any goods is to increase their sales but so far the result showed the bad results. Unfortunately, costumer surplus was offered some retailers such as Macys, Ann Taylor Inc. and other retailers failed to push up sales. In fact, in the last two months, the number of sales decreased 4 percent. Based on data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Uncle Sam economic condition was estimated to be shrinking in the third quarter around 0.5 percent, while the economists Bloomberg surveyed agreed, the country with the largest economy in the world will get the great pressure to the first half of 2009.

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After made new record high $147 USD /barrel in July 2008, oil price has been declined more than 100 percent. Premium price is lowest in last 3 months in America after cut 53 cent. Oil price is predicted will go down below $40 USD/barrel as Global Financial Crisis result. Oil shipping contract in New York Mercantile Exchange show the opposite after run high after closed in $49.93 USD/barrel higher than before $48.25 USD/barrel.

In Asia, Oil price has no power also. January shipping for light sweet oil is closed at $48.47/barrel, or declined 95 cent yesterday afternoon in Singapore. Merchant claims and scare about Global recession because demand for energy is running low.

December Shipping, Oil price goes rise to level $49.62 after sit lowest price since 18 may 2005, $48.50 USD/barrel. As we know, Oil price declined to fantastic price after running record high (upper $100USD/barrel). United State Government has cut premium price to follow the lowering on oil crude price. Analysts then said to predict that Oil price contract shipping will go down below $40 USD/barrel.
Fantastic declining as resulted of Global crisis where demand from business (read Industry) declined in high percentage. To anticipate over supply (over supply has positive correlation to reduce oil price), OPEC might decide to cut their oil crude quota in near. Last month, OPEC had cut their supply with declined their quota to 1.5 million barrel/day. When OPEC start to cut their supply? Analysts predict OPEC will do it in December next month. So far, OPEC supplies 40 percent of total Global demand and to make OPEC as important rule in pricing manipulated.

OPEC tries to prevent the worst price

In 19 November 2008, OPEC decided to consolidate with NON OPEC Countries in order to stabilize oil price-working together. They will meet in Cairo in November, IRNA reported. The main agenda are to talk about the current oil price condition and try to make plan in preventing oil price to worst. According to OPEC Staff, one of their solutions (decision) is walking together in oil market management. They must stick together to keep fairly oil price and that is very important move.
IRNA reported that Nozari has contacted Russian Ministry of Energy Sergey Shmatko last week. Russia takes 10 percent of total oil production, and OPEC really hopes that Russian will agree with them, walking together with OPEC to manage oil market. As one of the biggest NON-OPEC supplier has sent their staff as observer countries in OPEC submit meeting in September last two month